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The following is a continuation of a debate from elsewhere. Sorry if you're not in the loop.
===== Put yourself in my shoes for a moment: I believe that human life is sacred, that life begins at conception, and that the chief responsibility of government is to protect innocent human life. Now, if you believed what I just laid out, could you be “pro-choice but anti-abortion”? Believe me, I do understand your viewpoint. I’d love it if I could just take the easy way out and say that I was personally opposed to abortion but “didn’t want to impose my values on anyone.” That would be so easy. But I’d have to ignore my deeply held principles about the dignity of the human person. I can’t do that, and you should understand that asking me to do so is like telling an abolitionist that if they don’t like slavery, they shouldn’t buy a slave. As for whether or not using the term “infanticide” is “inflammatory”: if a child is born alive, is breathing, is moving, is fighting for survival, and it is simply left to die because it is unwanted… What would you call it?
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16:01
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Defined tags for this entry: abortion, democrats, election '08, human life, life and death, mccain/palin '08, obama!, obama/biden 2008, politics, republicans
For what it's worth: McCain for President, Palin for VP
I was going to write a big post detailing why I support John McCain and Sarah Palin, but to be honest I've grown so weary of this election that I just don't have it in me. So instead, I'll just rattle off some bullet points.
In the end, I think it's clear that this election is a referendum on Barack Obama's fitness for office. It has been since the primaries ended. John McCain represents a safer choice for those who can't convince themselves that Obama isn't just far too risky to put in power. While I've never been terribly enthused about his candidacy, I can say for certain that John McCain is an honorable man, and I believe he will serve honorably in the office of the Presidency. I believe that Obama is something like Carter without the morals - he will be disastrous for our economy, and will signal weakness to our enemies, thus inviting attack. McCain/Palin '08 is the clear choice this year. Here's hoping enough people see Obama for what he really is.
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09:48
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Defined tags for this entry: abortion, democrats, election '08, human life, life and death, mccain/palin '08, obama!, obama/biden 2008, politics, republicans
Wednesday, October 1. 2008The Bomb: A Short History
We're in the middle of nasty financial times, and as luck (or unluck) would have it, we're also in the middle of a presidential election. As I see it, that gives us a couple of responsibilities here: first of all, fixing the problem, but then, and perhaps more importantly, figuring out exactly what happened and ensuring that the mechanisms that were put in place to bring us to this point are disabled and that the people who built those mechanisms are not allowed to do it again. As for fixing the problems, well, I'll leave that to others. I have absolutely no confidence in Congress - frankly on either side of the aisle, although I'd prefer to have the Republicans in charge, because while they're politically stupid, at least they're not BATSHIT INSANE like Pelosi, Reid and their idiot minions.
So what happened? Aah, sweet sweet Jimmy Carter. Will your legacy ever stop biting us in the ass? No. It never will. Back in 1977, Carter signed into law the Community Reinvestment Act, which required lenders to offer credit to borrowers who previously would have been considered less-than-creditworthy. It was a well-intentioned move, of course, with the goal of moving more low-income individuals into homes. But from this tiny acorn (heh) that was planted by the Carter Administration sprang the mighty poison oak that our government and financial markets are trying desperately to fell today. Here's the problem with the CRA: it forced lenders to abandon free market principles. Under normal circumstances, a lender is not going to give money to a person who is unlikely to pay it back. This is, of course, an obvious problem for many minority groups who statistically tend to be poorer and a higher credit risk. It's an issue that should be addressed, although addressing it by using the government to force lenders to ignore creditworthiness in lending decisions is questionable at best. I'd argue that finding ways to encourage private wealth creating in poorer communities would be a better and more fruitful way of expanding homeownership, but then again, I'm not in Congress. (It should also be noted that CRE seems to be instrumental in spawning awful left-wing groups like ACORN, which unfortunately get funded with our tax dollars to advocate for lousy economic policy.) Nonetheless, my impression after some poking around is that throughout the 80s and early 90s, CRA chugged along below the radar as most federal legislation does - doing a little bit of good, probably causing more problems than it was worth, but certainly not causing any sort of major crisis. As evidenced by the fact that... there was no major crisis in the mortgage or credit markets. Enter Bill Clinton. Among other changes to federal housing law, there was some serious attention paid to the operation of the CRA during the Clinton Administration, as explained by Thomas DiLorenzo, Professor of Economics at Loyola University: ...in 1995, the US Treasury Department created the multibillion-dollar "Community Development Financial Institutions" fund to "provide banks with access [i.e., taxpayers' dollars] to new opportunities to finance community economic development" as "encouraged" by the CRA, said the Fed chairman.Here's a bit more on the insanity that was going on in the early-to-mid 90's that sheds some light on where we are right now: ... the Boston Fed, clearly speaking for the entire Fed, produced a manual for mortgage lenders stating that: "discrimination may be observed when a lender's underwriting policies contain arbitrary or outdated criteria that effectively disqualify many urban or lower-income minority applicants."A note here, from personal experience: I recall being utterly shocked at how unbelievably easy it was for my wife and I to be pre-qualified for a mortgage back in October of 2001, especially considering that it was immediately after 9/11, the economy was in the tank, and I was unemployed. Frankly, we're probably among the class that would have been laughed out of any decent lender's office prior to the changes in the mid-90s. The good news is that we've actually been paying our mortgage, although who knows how many others in the mortgage class of '01 still are. ![]() Someone set up us the bOmb Fannie and Freddie are government-chartered, shareholder-owned public companies. Because of their government charters and many government-provided privileges, they are known as government-sponsored enterprises, or GSEs. The companies carry on their business in two ways. In a process known as a securitization, they buy mortgages from mortgage originators, place them in trusts, and issue securities from these trusts that are backed by the payments of principal and interest on the pooled mortgages. These transactions create what are called mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Fannie and Freddie only guarantee to the holders of MBS that the principal and interest on the mortgages in the trusts will be paid in full and on time. In other words, Fannie and Freddie take only the credit risk on these mortgages; the interest-rate risk--that interest rates will rise and the mortgages will become less valuable, or that interest rates will fall and the mortgages will be prepaid and disappear--is taken by the holders of the MBS. For their guarantee, Fannie and Freddie receive an annual fee as long as the pools remain in existence. In this segment of their business, Fannie and Freddie have guaranteed about $2.2 trillion in mortgages.[1]Please make sure you're paying attention to this next paragraph: To place this in some perspective, all Treasury debt held by the public totals $4.4 trillion, and all corporate bonds outstanding total $2.9 trillion. Fannie's and Freddie's liabilities--including both their MBS guarantees and their borrowings--come in right in the middle, at $3.7 trillion. Thus, only two companies--both of which are GSEs and implicitly backed by the U.S. government--account for more default risk than all other U.S. corporations combined. The risks for the taxpayers are obvious, but as many commentators have also pointed out, risk of this size, if concentrated in only two companies, poses a danger to the U.S. economic system as a whole--a danger known as systemic risk.Let's review: the Community Reinvestment Act - Carter era legislation - began the process of forcing lenders to extend credit to borrowers who would not qualify under traditional credit rules. Then in the mid 90's, the Clinton Administration Treasury Department worked hard to vastly increase the amount of credit available to low income borrowers. Freddie and Fannie jumped into this market with both feet, and built up a portfolio that held an amount of debt approaching the size of the U.S. national debt, helped along by the Fed, which was pursuing a policy of keeping interest rates low in order to keep the economy strong after the Tech bubble burst. So now we've got a housing market awash in cheap money with a whole new class of potential homebuyers spurred on by CRA inspired regulatory changes. And naturally, since so many people are looking to buy, home values start to increase. Prior to the late 90's, home values had kept pretty close to the rate of inflation, but no longer. We now had a frenzy of buying and selling and flipping going on, driving prices up for no real reason other than as a response to an artificially propped-up demand. (This was the era when you couldn't go through a commercial break without seeing an ad for Countrywide Mortgage or some other lender promising great rates on home loans or "interest only" loans or some other such mortgage or equity related product.) People with sense were already warning of problems within a few years of the genesis of this crisis. Going back to that New York Post article: This damage was quite predictable: "After the warm and fuzzy glow of 'flexible underwriting standards' has worn off, we may discover that they are nothing more than standards that lead to bad loans . . . these policies will have done a disservice to their putative beneficiaries if . . . they are dispossessed from their homes." I wrote that, with Ted Day, in a 1998 academic article."I" in this case is Stan Liebowitz, the Ashbel Smith professor of Economics in the Business School at the University of Texas at Dallas. And it wasn't just a few academics saying this; there were politicians who were warning of the impending collapse of the Fannie Mae-driven subprime market, including the much-hated George W. Bush, whose administration had tried numerous times dating back to 2001 to reform Fannie and Freddie by attempting to restrict the size of their portfolios and create a more robust regulator for them. Here's a roundup of the Bush Administration's position on this issue through the past 8 years. For example: ** 2001There's more, but I'll let you read the rest at that link, because I'd like to focus on that last item, involving the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight. Let's go back to that CEI analysis that I referenced earlier: As part of the fallout from Enron and WorldCom, Freddie Mac decided to engage new auditors, replacing Arthur Andersen. The new auditors found discrepancies in the company's financial reports, and an independent counsel was engaged to do an investigation. The investigation showed that Freddie had manipulated its earnings in order to reduce reported volatility, and--perhaps more important--one of Freddie's senior managers seemed to have taken steps to obstruct the investigation. As a result, Freddie dismissed its three top officers, an action that apparently came as a complete surprise to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), the company's regulator. OFHEO was embarrassed by its failure to discover on its own the facts that led to the dismissal of Freddie's top officers--or even that there was an internal investigation that might lead to their dismissal--and its ability effectively to regulate the GSEs was publicly called into question.So finally OFHEO gets as tough on Fannie and Freddie as they should have been all along and presents a report to Congressional regulators on the shenanigans going on at the GSEs. How did the Congressional regulators respond? Judge for yourself: Video via Everything I Know Is Wrong. Also at that link is a reference to a 2005 bill - the Federal Housing Enterprise Regulatory Reform Act - which was yet another attempt to rein in Fannie and Freddie out of a concern over the systemic risk they posed to the US economy. Here's the bill summary: 1/26/2005--Introduced.One of the bill's primary backers? Senator John McCain. Here's his statement in support of the bill, back on May 25, 2006: Mr. President, this week Fannie Mae's regulator reported that the company's quarterly reports of profit growth over the past few years were "illusions deliberately and systematically created" by the company's senior management, which resulted in a $10.6 billion accounting scandal.The bill never made it out of committee. The Democrats in the Senate made it clear that they would not support the reforms, expressing attitudes similar to those of their colleagues in the House in the video above. ![]() Barney Frank: The problem isn't with the GSEs, it's with your lying eyes, you anti-poor scum! When the first wave of loan defaults started hitting in 2007, banks started getting nervous and tightened up credit. Home values started to fall. Eventually, a couple of hedge funds at Bear Stearns that dealt with a lot of subprime mortgages collapsed. And now, just as predicted by Bush, McCain, and a ton of other folks of more conservative persuasion, Fannie and Freddie have imploded, Wall Street is in a panic, and everyone's talking about the return of the Great Depression. And the Democrats say that this situation is the result of deregulation and is therefore a Republican scandal. That takes some serious balls. Heck, even a certain former President admits that the Democrats in Congress weren't exactly helpful in averting this crisis, as noted by the McCain campaign in this ad: Allahpundit is even calling Billy Jeff "America’s favorite newly minted right-leaning independent." (Notice - Clinton also doesn't buy the left's argument that this is all the result of deregulation either.) We're in the middle of a presidential campaign. Barack Obama claims that this election is about "judgement." Let's look at his judgement as relates to the people he's chosen to surround himself with as he tries to win the White House:
Obama and his Democrat colleagues had opportunities to defuse the bomb through legislation and the exercise of proper oversight over GSAs. Not only did they fail to do so, they actually attacked those who raised the alarm about Fannie and Freddie for trying to create panic in the markets. They claimed the threat did not exist. They refused to defuse the bomb. On the other hand, John McCain, George Bush and Congressional Republicans pushed for the reform and proper oversight the GSAs needed. That's the simple fact. I am by no means claiming that Republicans are always right - far from it. But on this one, they were, and for the Democrats and Obama to claim otherwise is a ridiculous lie. By my count, this is at least two major issues on which we can compare McCain and Obama's "judgement to lead" - the surge in Iraq, and the subprime mess. Both issues are of vital national importance; failure on both entails serious consequences for our country. On both issues, John McCain was absolutely right, and Barack Obama was completely, dreadfully wrong. Judgement to lead? Obama has a sterling public image and excellent PR, but a great facade does not equal good judgement. McCain has demonstrated excellent judgement on the two most important issues of our day. A postscript: Nancy Pelosi has announced that she won't be allowing any "witch hunt" over Fannie and Freddie in the next congressional term: ...according to House Oversight Committee staff, Emanuel has received assurances from Pelosi that she will not allow what he termed a "witch hunt" to take place during the next Congressional session over the role Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac played in the economic crisis.Translation: since there aren't any Republicans we can throw in jail for this, we're just going to let it slide. Voting for Obama rewards and empowers this crowd. Judgement to lead? You be the judge.
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13:20
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Defined tags for this entry: corruption, democratic stupidity, democrats, economic stupidity, election '08, fannie mae, freddie mac, john mccain, mccain/palin '08, obama!, obama/biden 2008, republicans, things mccain does that i like
Monday, September 8. 2008McCain, Obama and Change
McCain truly earned the nickname "Maverick." Sarah Palin is a maverick in her own right. Barack Obama is... a Chicago machine politician with good PR:
Not only does Obama have absolutely no record of risk-taking on reform, he chose a running mate who practically embodies everything Obama supposedly wants to change in Washington. Obama came out of one of the most corrupt political machines in the nation, and did absolutely nothing while in Illinois to reform it. Meanwhile, both McCain and Palin have battled their own parties to clean up politics.
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09:49
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Defined tags for this entry: change, change!, democrats, election '08, John McCain, mccain/palin '08, obama!, obama/biden 2008, republicans, sarah palin
Wednesday, September 3. 2008Palin vs. Obama
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16:00
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Tuesday, September 2. 2008Can Palin Debate?
BeldarBlog has the answer:
There were a ridiculous twenty-six debates in the 2008 Democratic primary season. Biden participated in fourteen of them. And after those fourteen debates, he won zero delegates before dropping out on January 3, 2008. By contrast, after Sarah Palin's 20-plus debates in 2006, she took 48% of the general election vote, to Knowles' 40% and Halcro's 9%.Please please PLEASE keep underestimating her, Obamites. PLEASE. Everybody else, read that post in full.
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15:33
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Defined tags for this entry: alaska politics, democrats, election '08, mccain/palin '08, obama/biden 2008, republicans, sarah palin, things mccain does that I like
Sunday, August 31. 2008Alaska and National Security
One of Sarah Palin's apparent weaknesses for the ticket is her lack of experience in matters of foreign policy. I'm willing to give her some credit for being the governor of a border state (just as Jennifer Granholm would if she were eligible to run and picked as a VP for the Dem ticket) because often times border states need to deal with their neighboring provinces (such as the Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River Basin Water Resources Compact) and as such, there's a bit of international experience that comes with the job. But in terms of real hard-core national defense-type foreign policy, not so much.
Having said that, I'm quite intrigued by this: Alaska is the first line of defense in our missile interceptor defense system. The 49th Missile Defense Battalion of the Alaska National Guard is the unit that protects the entire nation from ballistic missile attacks. It’s on permanent active duty, unlike other Guard units.If this is true - which, considering the source, I have little reason to doubt - it goes a long way toward easing the concern that people may have on the national security issue. I hope we hear more about this. My secret hope is that Obama and Biden seriously underestimate Palin and she turns out to be much more than anyone expects. With this info, that seems just a tad more likely.
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20:03
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Paglia on Palin
Via the Corner:
“We may be seeing the first woman president. As a Democrat, I am reeling,” said Camille Paglia, the cultural critic. “That was the best political speech I have ever seen delivered by an American woman politician. Palin is as tough as nails.”
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16:39
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Saturday, August 30. 2008Yeah, Palin's a lightweight all right
Could have fooled me. Sounds better and more sensible than anything Obama has been able to stutter out so far...
Via AOSHQ
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22:05
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Defined tags for this entry: election '08, energy policy, mccain/palin '08, obama!, obama/biden 2008, oil, republicans, sarah palin
Steyn on Palin
Mark Steyn's thoughts on the Palin pick:
real people don't define "experience" as appearing on unwatched Sunday-morning talk shows every week for 35 years and having been around long enough to have got both the War on Terror and the Cold War wrong. (On the first point, at the Gun Owners of New Hampshire dinner in the 2000 campaign, I remember Orrin Hatch telling me sadly that he was stunned to discover how few Granite State voters knew who he was.) Sarah Palin and Barack Obama are more or less the same age, but Governor Palin has run a state and a town and a commercial fishing operation, whereas (to reprise a famous line on the Rev Jackson) Senator Obama ain't run nothin' but his mouth. She's done the stuff he's merely a poseur about. Post-partisan? She took on her own party's corrupt political culture directly while Obama was sucking up to Wright and Ayers and being just another get-along Chicago machine pol (see his campaign's thuggish attempt to throttle Stanley Kurtz and Milt Rosenberg on WGN the other night).
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18:32
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Inexperience: President vs. Vice President
A fine point over at the Weekly Standard:
Was there something inconsistent in McCain's naming Governor Palin to his ticket after making much hay out of Barack Obama's not being ready to be president? I don't see it. Most of us McCain-Palin supporters think Senator Obama is ready and qualified to be vice-president, as is Governor Palin.I understand the jittery feelings about Palin's supposed lack of experience, but I also like the idea of taking a complete outsider and putting her right next to the oval office. I think she has the principles, the ethics, and the judgement to be great. And I certainly believe she has the chops to be a huge asset to McCain on energy issues. With a Vice Presidential term or two under her belt for some extra seasoning and the right people around her - the sky's the limit.
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18:16
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Friday, August 29. 2008WE CAN DO IT!
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15:36
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woah.
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14:25
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Defined tags for this entry: did i mention awesome, election '08, mccain/palin '08, political awesomeness, republicans, sarah palin, things mccain does that I like, we can win this thing
So who's Geraldine Ferraro voting for this year?
How about Hillary? Is she one of the women who'd appreciate the opportunity here?
Geraldine Ferraro says that many women feel disaffected by the way Hillary Clinton got treated by the Democratic Party and the media — and they will appreciate an opportunity to support a historic ticket...
Posted by marc
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14:10
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Defined tags for this entry: democrats, election '08, mccain/palin '08, political awesomeness, republicans, sarah palin, things mccain does that i like, we can win this thing
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